deer prediction
deer prediction
The AI Deer Prediction model is one of the deadliest tools in Spartan Forge’s arsenal. Located in the Intel section of the app, it provides you with a Movement and Pattern prediction based on an analysis of historical and real-time data.
This prediction model was built using a combination of collared deer data and historic weather from around the country. That data was input into our model and is able to predict white tailed deer movement in localized areas with a high level of accuracy.
While this model won’t tell you exactly where the deer are or where to hunt, it can be used in conjunction with your knowledge of deer movement in your area to come up with a solid plan for each day you plan to hunt.
Predictions Explained:
Before going into what these predictions mean, it is important to understand that these models are localized. The prediction that you see in your Intel Tab is generated based on where your crosshairs are currently on the map.So your predictions may be slightly different between hunting spots.
MOVEMENT
There are three movement predictions:
Core Area (CA)
Transition Area (TA)
Full Range (FR)
During CORE AREA days, you can expect deer to remain close to their bedding areas in daylight hours. Overall Movement will be less than average making an encounter more difficult. If you have a good stand location in a bedding area, this is the day to hunt it, especially on Very Abnormal pattern days.
On TRANSITION AREA days, deer will likely travel beyond their core areas during daylight hours but remain short of their full range. On these days, deer may visit scrapes and food sources throughout the day. Stands in those locations would be ideal.
Lastly, on FULL RANGE days, deer will cover more ground and travel their full range in daylight hours. Overall movement will be much greater on these days. Think peak rut, when bucks are willing to travel miles over their entire range. This is another good day for hunting scrapes as bucks from other areas will likely be venturing into areas they aren’t normally in to check and freshen up scrapes.
Pattern
There are three pattern predictions:
Normal (NOR)
Abnormal(AB)
Very Abnormal(VA)
During NORMAL periods, deer are most likely to follow their most observed pattern with respect to position and time of day. These days the deer will be the most predictable based on your previous observations that you have learned over time. Therefore, if you have that buck that visits the same oak tree at the same time each day, Normal days are for that spot.
ABNORMAL days are just as they sound, the deer will deviate from their normal movement patterns and may arrive or depart at a slightly different time than expected. If you often see a buck hitting a scrape right after dark, there is a chance that they might show up in daylight on Abnormal days.
VERY ABNORMAL patterns equal a lot of unexpected movement in regards to travel areas and times.Anything can happen on Very Abnormal days. Deer may be eating at an apple tree in the middle of the day or browsing their favorite clear cut. These are great days to be out hunting.
FAQs
Our model uses the local weather to make its prediction, so your areas may be pulling from different weather stations.
According to our tests, the model is accurate about 66% of the time.
Not necessarily, but if you know your area well enough you will likely know where they will be based on the predictions.
Our predictions are completely data driven. Algorithms identify what conditions seem to get the deer on their feet based on historical weather and collared deer data. What does this mean to you? There is no bias involved.
The short answer is yes. The long answer is that we don’t really know how much weight it has in the prediction. Moon phase is input into the algorithm but it may not have any effect on the prediction.
